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Hydro & marine calculator

Tidal energy calculator: tidal range barrages and tidal stream turbines

Estimate the yearly output of a tidal lagoon/barrage from basin area and tidal range, or of tidal stream turbines from current speed and rotor size, simulated through every spring–neap cycle of a year.

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Results

13.6 GWh per year from 6 MW, a capacity factor of 25.9%. Output is predictable years ahead, but it pulses with every tide and swings with the spring–neap cycle. LCOE ≈ 422 €/MWh.
Annual energy
13.6GWh
3,785 average EU homes
Capacity factor
25.9%
2,271 full-load hours
Installed capacity
6MW
Average power
1.6MW
Rated current speed
3.13m/s
rotor 18 m · Cp 0.42
Mean kinetic power density
4.67kW/m²
time-averaged ½ρ|u|³
Operating hours
6,457h/yr
640 h at rated power
LCOE
422€/MWh
capex 45 M€
Project IRR
-7.6%
at 200 €/MWh
Two weeks of output: spring to neap
  • Current follows u = U_peak(t)·sin(2πt/12.42 h) with the peak varying sinusoidally between your spring and neap values over 14.77 days; flood/ebb asymmetry, turbulence and the vertical velocity profile are not modelled.
  • Use the current at hub depth, not the surface. Array wakes and blockage effects matter for large arrays; this model treats turbines independently.

How this tidal energy calculator works

There are two very different ways to turn tides into electricity, and the calculator models both.

Tidal range (barrages and lagoons) trap water behind a wall at high tide and release it through low-head turbines once a height difference has built up. In effect it is hydropower driven by the Moon. The energy available scales with the basin area and the square of the tidal range.

Tidal stream turbines sit in fast currents, like underwater wind turbines. Their power scales with rotor area and the cube of current speed. Seawater is about 840 times denser than air, so an 18 m tidal rotor in a 3 m/s current produces as much as a wind rotor of 70–80 m in a 12 m/s wind, but only where currents are strong.

Tides follow the 12.42-hour lunar semi-diurnal cycle, and their amplitude swells and fades over the 14.77-day spring–neap cycle. The calculator simulates a whole year: every tide for a barrage, and every 10 minutes for a stream turbine, with range or peak current varying between your spring and neap values.

The formulas

Barrage / lagoon, per tide: E = ½ × ρ × g × A × R² Annual: E_year = Σ_tides min(E_tide × extraction factor, P_installed × generating hours) × availability

Tidal stream: P(t) = min(P_rated, ½ × ρ × A_rotor × Cp × |u(t)|³ × η) u(t) = U_peak(t) × sin(2π t / 12.42 h), U_peak varies between spring and neap over 14.77 days

ρ = 1,025 kg/m³ for seawater. The extraction factor (default 38% for ebb generation, 32% for flood, 50% for two-way operation) accounts for turbine efficiency, the head needed before generation starts and the time spent waiting for that head.

Worked example: a tidal stream array

The defaults model an array of four 1.5 MW turbines with 18 m rotors in a channel where depth-averaged peak currents reach 3.5 m/s at springs and 1.8 m/s at neaps, similar to the first phase of the MeyGen project in Scotland’s Pentland Firth.

  • With Cp = 0.42 and 90% drivetrain efficiency, each turbine reaches rated power at about 3.1 m/s.
  • Turbines generate whenever the current exceeds 1 m/s (around 6,450 hours a year) but run at full power for only about 640 hours, mostly during spring tides.
  • With 92% availability the array produces about 13.6 GWh a year, a capacity factor near 26%, enough for some 3,800 average EU homes.
  • At 7,500 €/kW and 3.5% O&M, the LCOE is above €400/MWh, twice the €200/MWh support price assumed. That gap is why current tidal stream projects depend on dedicated contracts-for-difference and why cost reduction is the industry’s main goal.

Choose the La Rance-type barrage preset (22 km², 11 m spring and 5.5 m neap range, 240 MW, ebb generation) and the model gives about 535 GWh a year, close to the roughly 500 GWh the real plant has delivered for decades.

How to read the results

  • Annual energy and capacity factor: tidal plants typically reach 20–40%.
  • Rated current speed (stream). Choosing a lower rated speed raises capacity factor but wastes energy at springs; developers optimise this against cost.
  • Energy per tide (barrage). The chart shows the spring–neap swing; spring tides can deliver four times as much as neaps because energy scales with R².
  • Tides limited by capacity. If this is high, more turbines would capture more energy.

Typical values

Parameter Tidal stream Tidal range
Resource needed spring peak current > 2.5 m/s mean range > 5 m
Unit size 0.1–2.5 MW 10–26 MW bulb turbines
Capacity factor 25–40% 20–30%
Capex 5,000–12,000 per kW 3,000–8,000 per kW
Example MeyGen (UK), 6 MW La Rance (FR) 240 MW; Sihwa (KR) 254 MW

Tips

  • Measure at hub depth. Current speed falls towards the seabed; use ADCP measurements at the rotor height, not surface speeds.
  • Spring and neap both matter. A site with strong springs but weak neaps produces less than its peak current suggests.
  • Two-way lagoons generate on both flood and ebb and can pump at high water to boost head; they deliver steadier output than ebb-only barrages.
  • Combine with storage or other renewables. Tidal output is predictable but pulsed four times a day, so it complements wind and solar.

Limitations

The tide is modelled as a single sinusoidal constituent with a spring–neap modulation; real tides include diurnal inequality, equinoctial highs and site-specific flood/ebb asymmetry. Stream turbines are treated independently, without array wakes or channel blockage effects, and the vertical velocity profile is ignored. The barrage model uses an empirical extraction factor rather than a full operating simulation, so expect ±20–30% accuracy. Environmental effects on sediment, fish and intertidal habitats are outside its scope, although for barrages they are often the deciding factor.

Method & assumptions

Tidal range (barrage/lagoon): water trapped over area A with range R holds potential energy E = ½ ρ g A R² per filling or emptying (ρ = 1,025 kg/m³). The range is varied each tide between neap and spring values over the 14.77-day cycle, 706 tides per year are summed, an extraction factor converts potential to delivered energy and each tide is capped at installed power × generating hours. Tidal stream: P = ½ ρ A Cp u³ η, limited to rated power and zero below cut-in, simulated every 10 minutes for a year with a sinusoidal M2 tide whose amplitude follows the spring–neap cycle. LCOE = discounted costs ÷ discounted MWh.

Frequently asked questions

How is tidal energy calculated?
For a barrage or lagoon, the energy available per tide is E = ½ × ρ × g × A × R² (seawater density × gravity × basin area × tidal range squared). For tidal stream turbines, power is P = ½ × ρ × A × Cp × v³, like a wind turbine but with water about 840 times denser than air.
How much power does a tidal stream turbine produce?
A modern 1.5–2 MW tidal turbine with an 18–20 m rotor reaches rated power in currents of about 3 m/s and typically achieves a capacity factor of 25–40%, producing roughly 3,000–6,000 MWh a year at a good site.
What current speed is needed for tidal stream energy?
Commercial sites generally need spring peak currents above about 2.5 m/s, ideally 3–5 m/s. Because power scales with the cube of speed, a 4 m/s site carries more than twice the power of a 3 m/s site.
How much energy does La Rance tidal power station produce?
La Rance in Brittany, France, operating since 1966 with 240 MW of turbines, generates roughly 500 GWh a year from a basin of about 22 km² and a mean tidal range of around 8 m. That is a capacity factor of about 24%.
Why is tidal energy predictable?
Tides are driven by the gravitational pull of the Moon and Sun, so their timing and height can be predicted years, even centuries, in advance. Output varies strongly through each day and over the 14.8-day spring–neap cycle, but never surprises the grid operator.
Why is tidal energy expensive?
Marine construction, corrosion, limited weather windows for installation and maintenance, and small project sizes keep costs high. Tidal stream LCOE today is typically well above 200 per MWh (EUR or GBP), though costs are expected to fall with larger arrays.

Sources & references

  1. Ocean Energy Systems (IEA Technology Collaboration Programme) — annual reports
  2. Charlier, R.H. (2007). Forty candles for the Rance River TPP tides provide renewable and sustainable power generation. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 11(9)
  3. Neill, S.P. & Hashemi, M.R. — Fundamentals of Ocean Renewable Energy, Academic Press, 2018
  4. IRENA — Tidal Energy Technology Brief (2014)

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